Zombieconomy 2025

Let us be grateful 2020 is finally behind us. No one saw the pandemic coming. We can at least enter 2021 with renewed hope for a better year. Two vaccines are currently being distributed, with a third due in early January. My 92 year-old father has had his first shot. Prospects for a better 2021 […]

The Macro Messaging of the Markets

I reject the term “unprecedented times”. It seems that we are too often told that we are living in unprecedented times, that we should accept a new paradigm for the era, pretend that plague has never been visited upon humanity, and this is the most vicious election the US has ever been through. I say […]

A Bubble and a Hard Place

Only a few months ago, markets were crawling off the bottom of the pandemic-driven collapse. What a difference combined fiscal and monetary efforts have delivered so far. Growth Equity Markets have matched and exceeded their pre-coronavirus highs. This has been good news for investors. Yet a word of caution is appropriate. Though continuing to exceed […]

MoVing Targets…

It goes without saying that the past three months have been Crazy Train as we “safe-distance” through the pandemic. Add social protests and unrest and election year politics to negative oil prices and jaw dropping unemployment numbers and this year continues to be one for the record books. Through all of this, much of the […]

World Under Siege

At the end of 2019 we celebrated an outstanding year for investors but warned we may be getting ahead of ourselves, and to be wary of potholes in the road. It was as recently as February 19 that markets hit new all-time highs, even as the virus was spreading across the globe. This rally then […]

Celebrate Yesterday, Stay Vigilant…

After a brief hiccup at the start of the last quarter, markets roared into the new year in a relentless drive to all-time highs, again. The engine of the US economy is humming along providing ample job opportunities for middle income workers, accompanied by low interest rates and accommodating central bank policies around the globe. […]

Bewitched Markets

October has arrived and the darker spirits of the market have emerged beginning with an immediate October sell-off of equities. Boo! It is the Season of the Witch, and equities are being spooked. The first three days of the quarter eliminated the third quarter’s gains as an increasing flow of struggling economic indicators has appeared. […]

Here We Go Again!

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the U.S. economy broke a record for its longest expansion ever Monday July 1, 2019. Economic expansion has continued for more than 10 years. Growth is now in its 121st month since the Great Recession. And the market keeps rocking upward! As we go to print, markets […]

Bouncing Markets

Christmas came late! After a volatile gut-clenching end to 2018, when markets finished with a dramatic correction, the year’s first quarter delivered a happy rebound. All market sectors turned strongly GREEN, leaving last year’s champion, Cash, in their dust. It just goes to say, what goes up must come down, and vice versa. In the […]

PLEASE DON’T “FED” THE BEAR

The market confusion referenced in our last commentary has somewhat resolved itself as the final quarter of 2018 closed. The 10-year Bull market has been abruptly interrupted as the Bear emerged from the woods with a vengeance. Having been held in check by an accommodative Fed for most of that period, it now appears the […]